CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2026-07-07T22:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2026-07-07T22:12ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47438/-1
CME Note: This approximate CME arrival time may be the flank arrival of CME: 2026-07-07T22:12Z, as seen with a reverse shock in SOLAR-1 data starting around 2026-07-10T06:00Z. B_total reaches around 12nT. This CME may possibly interact with the preceding coronal hole high speed stream detected at L1 on 2026-07-09.CME first seen to the NE beginning at 2026-07-07T22:12Z by SOHO LASCO C2, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source of this event is a large filament eruption seen centered at approx. N20E70 with liftoff beginning at approx. 2026-07-07T21:33Z as seen in SDO AIA and GOES SUVI 304. Field line opening, dimming and post eruptive arcades are also seen in SDO AIA 171, 193 and GOES SUVI 284.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-07-10T06:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-11T08:00Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 15.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -7.07 hour(s)
Difference: -26.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-10T13:04Z
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